Evaluating the North Dakota Land Market

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Evaluating the North Dakota Land Market
By

Bart Waldon

If you've ever driven through North Dakota, you know it's a land of big skies and even bigger opportunities. From the rolling prairies to the fertile farmlands, the Peace Garden State has long been a magnet for folks looking to stake their claim in the land market. But before you go planting your "For Sale" sign or whipping out your checkbook, let's dig into what's really happening in the North Dakota land scene.

First things first: the numbers don't lie. North Dakota State University Extension recently dropped some eye-opening stats. Get this - cropland values have shot up by over 10% for two years running. That's not just a blip on the radar; it's a full-blown trend. And if that doesn't raise your eyebrows, maybe this will: the North Dakota Chapter of the American Society of Farm Managers and Rural Appraisers reports that average cropland prices hit a whopping $3,500 per acre in 2023. That's a 15% jump from the year before. Looks like the "amber waves of grain" are turning into waves of green, if you catch my drift.

Now that we've got the lay of the land, let's roll up our sleeves and get into the nitty-gritty of evaluating this market.

North Dakota: More Than Just Flat Land and Funny Accents

Forget what you've seen in the movies. North Dakota's got more variety than a potluck dinner. You've got the Turtle Mountains doing their best impression of hills in the north, the Badlands living up to their name in the west, and the Red River Valley in the east, which is about as fertile as land gets without being actually magic.

The weather here isn't for the faint of heart. Winters that would make a polar bear think twice and summers that can fry an egg on the sidewalk. But here's the kicker - this rollercoaster climate, paired with soil so rich you could almost eat it, makes for some prime farming conditions. We're talking wheat, soybeans, and corn for days. Just remember, Mother Nature giveth, and she taketh away. One year you're swimming in crops, the next you might be actually swimming if the Red River decides to overflow.

What to Look for When Sizing Up North Dakota Land

1. Location: It's Not Just a Real Estate Cliché

In North Dakota, where you are can make or break your land value. Here's what to keep your eyes peeled for:

  • How close are you to the big smoke? (That's Fargo, Bismarck, or Grand Forks for you city slickers)
  • Can you get there from here? Look for good roads and maybe even railway access
  • Water, water, everywhere? Irrigation sources are gold out here
  • What's the neighbor up to? Surrounding land use can be a make-or-break deal

2. Dirt: Not All Soil is Created Equal

In farming country, soil is king. Here's your soil checklist:

  • What's it made of? Sandy, clay, loam - it all matters
  • Does it drain well, or are you buying a future swamp?
  • What's grown there before, and how well did it do?
  • Could you go organic? That's a whole different ballgame (and price point)

3. Water: The Lifeblood of Any Land

No water, no dice. Simple as that. Check out:

  • Do you own the water rights, or are you going to be begging the neighbors?
  • Is there an irrigation system, or are you starting from scratch?
  • Natural water sources nearby? That's a big plus
  • What's the groundwater situation? Quality and quantity both matter

4. Buried Treasure: Mineral Rights

With North Dakota sitting on more oil than a Texas millionaire's garage, mineral rights are a big deal:

  • Do you own what's under the ground, or just what's on top?
  • Any chance of striking oil (or gas)?
  • Existing deals you need to know about?

5. What's Already There: Infrastructure and Improvements

Don't overlook the extras:

  • Buildings, barns, anywhere to store your stuff (or crops)
  • Fences: Good fences make good neighbors (and happy livestock)
  • Can you get there? Roads matter
  • Power, water, internet - the modern homesteader's essentials
  • Any fancy land management already in place?

Navigating the Market Without Losing Your Shirt

Do Your Homework (No, Really)

Before you start throwing money around, do some digging:

  1. Hit the County Office: These folks have the dirt on taxes, zoning, and what you can actually do with the land.
  2. Make Friends at the Ag Extension Office: They know more about local farming than Google ever will.
  3. Play Detective: What's the land's backstory? Any skeletons in the closet (or toxic waste in the soil)?
  4. Keep Your Ear to the Ground: The North Dakota Department of Trust Lands can keep you in the loop on market trends.

Sometimes, You Gotta Call in the Cavalry

DIY is great for home improvement, not so much for land deals. Consider getting:

  • A land appraiser who knows their stuff
  • An ag consultant who can tell you if you're buying a gold mine or a money pit
  • A lawyer who speaks fluent "land deal"

The Market's Got More Moves Than a Prairie Dog

Here's the thing: land values can be as unpredictable as North Dakota weather. One minute you're sitting pretty, the next you're wondering if you should've bought bitcoin instead. Commodity prices, interest rates, even what's happening halfway across the world can shake things up.

Cash is King (But Not the Only Player)

There's a lot of talk about cash buyers in the North Dakota land game. Companies that swoop in with cash offers aren't always lowballing you. Sometimes, they're offering a lifeline to folks who need to sell fast or just don't want the headache of a drawn-out sale.

Thinking of Selling? Here's the Scoop

If you're on the other side of the fence, looking to offload some North Dakota land, brace yourself:

  1. It's a Marathon, Not a Sprint: Selling bare land can take anywhere from 1-2 years. Pack your patience.
  2. Marketing Matters: You can't just stick a "For Sale" sign in the ground and call it a day. Reaching the right buyers takes work.
  3. Bargaining is an Art Form: Be ready to haggle. Land buyers often have a wishlist longer than a North Dakota winter.
  4. The Fast Track Option: If waiting around isn't your style, selling to a land-buying company for cash might be your ticket. You might not get top dollar, but you'll get it done quick.

Final Thoughts

Getting a handle on the North Dakota land market is part science, part art, and a whole lot of local know-how. Whether you're eyeing that perfect plot in the Red River Valley or looking to unload your slice of the Badlands, knowing the ins and outs of the market is key.

Remember, there's no one-size-fits-all in the land game. Maybe you're in it for the long haul, ready to weather the ups and downs of the market. Or perhaps you're looking for a quick, no-fuss deal. Either way, arm yourself with knowledge, trust your gut, and don't be afraid to ask for help.

The North Dakota land market, with its rich farming heritage and oil boom potential, is ripe with opportunities. Just be sure to look before you leap, and you might find yourself with a piece of the Peace Garden State to call your own.

About The Author

Bart Waldon

Bart, co-founder of Land Boss with wife Dallas Waldon, boasts over half a decade in real estate. With 100+ successful land transactions nationwide, his expertise and hands-on approach solidify Land Boss as a leading player in land investment.

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