Evaluating the North Carolina Land Market

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Evaluating the North Carolina Land Market
By

Bart Waldon

Blanketing over 52 million acres of land within its state borders according to recent surveys, North Carolina offers immense options for both existing property owners and prospective buyers looking to carve out their own piece of picturesque Carolina living. However, immense variations between regional land valuations make determining fair market pricing difficult when evaluating the Tar Heel state’s real estate terrain spanning everything from Atlantic Beach oceanfront parcels listing at over $3 million down to rural Rowan County 20-acre farms trading owners around $75,000 by comparison. 

For example, prime Research Triangle vacant building land around Raleigh currently changes hands averaging $225,000 an acre according to county records thanks to surging corporate relocations and housing development pressure. Conversely, densities dissipate dramatically moving west as 1-5 acre plots near Asheville list around just $30,000 total, illustrating the need for micro-market financial analysis rather than statewide multipliers when evaluating average per acre land rates accurately across North Carolina’s diverse real estate landscape any investor or developer must navigate determining true risk-return profiles pursuing property deals currently.

Overview of the North Carolina Land Market

Land prices in North Carolina are generally lower than the national average, making it an attractive market for land buyers. The average price per acre of North Carolina land is around $5,000, compared to over $7,800 per acre nationally. However, land prices can vary dramatically depending on the location, terrain, access to utilities, economic growth potential, and other factors.

The most valuable land in North Carolina tends to be near major cities and along the coast. Land near the Research Triangle area (Raleigh, Durham, Chapel Hill) commands premium prices due to strong employment growth and demand for development. Coastal land prices reflect high demand for vacation homes and investment properties. Mountain land with good views or recreational access also brings above-average prices.

In rural areas and small towns, land prices are quite modest. But even here, the market has been tightening up due to scarce inventory. Farmland and timberland still offer good value for investors or those looking for privacy and elbow room. With population growth projected to continue, rural land prices should appreciate steadily.

Factors That Impact Land Value

When evaluating a piece of land in North Carolina, there are several key factors to consider:

Location

Proximity to major cities, interstates, amenities, or attractions is a major driver of land prices. Land within commuting distance of Charlotte, Raleigh, Greensboro, Asheville and other economic hubs will demand a premium. Beachfront or coastal properties also come at a high cost per acre.

Terrain and Soil Quality

Smooth, flat, open land is most desirable for development. Hilly terrain or wetlands make building more difficult and costly. High quality soil increases agricultural land value. Flood zones and drainage issues must also be evaluated.

Zoning and Land Use Regulations

What is the land zoned for - residential, commercial, agricultural? What is allowed to be built on it? Knowledge of zoning laws and potential rezoning possibilities is important. Development potential drives prices.

Access and Roads

Ingress/egress, road frontage, and accessibility are very important. Land with existing road frontage and utilities access brings higher prices than landlocked parcels requiring new infrastructure.

Economic Factors

A growing local economy increases demand for land. Employment rates, median income levels, and recent development activity provide clues about where land values are headed.

Comparable Sales

Looking at what similar parcels of land have recently sold for in the immediate area gives a good benchmark for pricing expectations. Rural land has large price ranges so getting quality comparable sales data is critical.

By analyzing all of these factors, land buyers can zero in on properties that offer the ideal mix of upside potential and value. It takes experience to accurately underwrite and evaluate land deals.

Approaches for Valuing Land in North Carolina

There are several methods that can be used to estimate or appraise the market value of a land parcel:

Sales Comparison Approach

This approach looks at prices paid for similar pieces of land recently sold in the same area. Making adjustments for property differences and market trends allows an appraiser to reach an estimated value range by comparing apples-to-apples. Reliable comps are key to making this work.

Income Capitalization Approach

For income-producing land, this method calculates the property's value based on the income it generates. The net operating income is divided by the capitalization rate to derive a value. This is commonly used for appraising farmland or leased timberland.

Cost Approach

By estimating what it would cost to purchase the land and build any improvements on it, an appraiser can gauge what buyers would pay compared to acquiring a similar property already developed. This approach is best for improved land or development sites.

Use of Mass Appraisal Tech

Computer-assisted mass appraisal (CAMA) modeling incorporates location, zoning, utility access, and other data to rapidly value large numbers of properties for tax purposes. Individual appraisals provide more precision.

Broker Opinions of Value

Experienced local real estate brokers will generally have the best sense of what a given property can realistically sell for after inspecting it and reviewing recent comparable sales. Their opinion is informed by years in the market.

In today's fast-moving real estate environment, appraisal approaches must be combined with on-the-ground insights from experts familiar with the dynamics in that niche location and land use category.

Tips for Negotiating North Carolina Land Deals

Once a parcel of land has been evaluated, buyers will be prepared to make an offer and negotiate a purchase. Here are tips for negotiating land deals in North Carolina:

  • Search public records to uncover liens, easements, or other encumbrances that may impact value.
  • Make connections with nearby landowners to see if they have interest in selling too - combining parcels can unlock value.
  • Hire professionals to inspect the property thoroughly prior to closing so there are no surprises.
  • Be flexible on closing dates and structure (cash vs seller financing) to bridge price gaps with motivated sellers.
  • If zoning or lack of legal access is an issue, make contingency offers dependent on resolving those hurdles.
  • Don't overlook the power of personal appeals to a seller's priorities beyond just price.
  • Consult an attorney to review title work, survey, and deed restrictions to flag any deal breakers.
  • Leverage competition by bringing other buyers into the mix via double escrows or back-up offers.

With persistence and creativity, even deals that seem dead in the water can be resuscitated and closed at terms that work for both parties. The North Carolina land market rewards those who put in the work to fully evaluate properties and craft optimal offers. Partnering with an experienced land acquisition company like Land Boss can provide the expertise and resources needed to successfully negotiate and purchase North Carolina land.

Is North Carolina Land a Good Investment?

With its diversity of geography and steadily growing population centers, North Carolina offers promising opportunities for land investors. Here are some factors that support the thesis for investing in North Carolina land:

Strong Population Growth

North Carolina has seen its population expand by over 2 million people since 2000. Continued in-migration from other states points to ongoing housing demand. More residents means more commercial development too.

Low Prices Compared to Other Markets

The average per acre price of $5,000 makes North Carolina land relatively affordable compared to other East Coast states. This leaves room for land values to appreciate.

Economic Momentum

Major North Carolina metro areas like Charlotte, Raleigh, Durham, Greensboro and Asheville have strong job growth, business investment, and construction activity. This props up land prices.

Diversity of Land Types

The state offers a range of land investment opportunities spanning coastal, mountain, rural, suburban, timber, agricultural, and commercial development sites.

Long-Term Demographic Trends

With its quality universities, combined with moderate taxes and cost of living, North Carolina will continue to benefit from migration of millennials and retirees. These groups fuel real estate demand.

While not every parcel is destined to be a winner, North Carolina’s compelling population and economic growth dynamics bode well for land prices across the state. Investors who target the right sub-markets and land uses seem likely to see their ventures pay off.

Final Words

In conclusion, North Carolina offers a diverse landscape both geographically and in terms of its real estate markets. While land prices remain relatively affordable statewide, values can swing wildly depending on location, economic conditions, zoning, and other factors. Doing thorough research and analysis with the help of local market experts allows buyers to accurately evaluate properties for their investment potential or end-use suitability. Understanding regional nuances is key. With proper diligence and negotiating skill, North Carolina land can be secured at favorable prices and provide investors long-term gains as population growth further stokes demand across the Tar Heel State.

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)

What are some of the main factors that impact land values in North Carolina?

Some of the key factors are location, zoning/land use regulations, terrain, access to roads and utilities, economic conditions, population growth trends, and recent sales of comparable properties. Proximity to cities and amenities drives prices upward.

How much does vacant land typically cost per acre in NC?

Average per-acre prices range from $5,000 - $10,000 statewide. But there are huge regional differences, with coastal, mountain, and suburb land fetching far higher prices per acre compared to rural and agricultural acreage.

What are the main methods used to appraise land in North Carolina?

Common appraisal approaches include sales comparison, income capitalization, cost analysis, computer-assisted modeling, and broker opinions of value. Combining these methods with local market expertise is key.

Should I use a real estate agent or go direct to owners when buying NC land?

It's generally wise to consult both local agents and contact owners directly. Agents have broader market knowledge, while direct-to-owner deals can sometimes save the typical 6% commission.

What resources help identify land for sale in North Carolina?

Quality online property listing sites like Lands of America, Land And Farm, and Land Watch can help surface good land deals. Local real estate agents and investors are also great resources.

About The Author

Bart Waldon

Bart, co-founder of Land Boss with wife Dallas Waldon, boasts over half a decade in real estate. With 100+ successful land transactions nationwide, his expertise and hands-on approach solidify Land Boss as a leading player in land investment.

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